Wednesday, July 27, 2011

More Meteorology

I'm aware that some of you are horribly bored by this, but rest easy--I'll be done with this weather stuff in a few days. I just want to see if my suspicion is correct and AccuWeather's 15-day forecast is nothing more than random guesswork.

Now let's look at the forecasts as of 7/26 (I'm not posting 'til 7/27, but I did a text capture of these in mid-afternoon Tuesday).

7/27 - 95° (2° higher htan yesterday)
7/28 - 92° (2° higher than yesterday)
7/29 - 92° (1° cooler than yesterday)
7/30 - 95° (2° warmer yesterday)
7/31 - 95° (2° warmer than yesterday's forecast)
8/1 - 94° (1° higher than yesterday's forecast)
8/2 - 94° (3° cooler than yesterday's forecast!)
8/3 - 90° (3° higher than yesterday's forecast)
8/4 - 77° (6° cooler than yesterday's forecast--and where di these 70s come from?)
8/5 - 82° (4° warmer than yesterday's forecast)
8/6 - 83° (7° cooler than yesterday's forecast)
8/7 - 87° (1° cooler than yesterday's forecast)
8/8 - 88° (1° warmer than yesterday's forecast)
8/9 - 92° (a very hot forecast for 15 days out--surprising!)

Tomorrow I'll actually compare the 7/27 forecasts for the last week or so with the real temperature and see how far-ranging their forecasts were, and when they were closest to the real temperature.

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